Clickjacking 2017

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Date of prediction: 2009-06-03

»The future: Long standing Web application security scourges such SQL Injection (SQLi), Cross-Site Scripting (XSS), and Cross-Site Request Forgery (CSRF) are finally under control. Remaining buffer overflow issues are considered fossilized evidence of a prior era. Cyber criminals out of necessity have evolved their attack portfolios to include Clickjacking as a preferred method for tricking their victims into propagating malware, defrauding themselves, and initiating other forms a malicious acts. Clickjacking, a long-known and fundamental design problem in the way the Web works, had not until 2017 garnered the respect necessary to be taken seriously. Now with significant damage increasing and loses mounting, the issue has forced website owners and browser developers to scramble for solutions to a problem nearly a decade in the making. Or so the story may go should history repeats itself.«

(Jeremiah Grossman: Clickjacking 2017)


Google+ Shares to Exceed Facebook’s

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Date of prediction: 2013-06-20

A study by Searchmetrics predicts:

»Google+ will outpace Facebook in sharing of online content among U.S. users by February 2016, according to a new study from search and social analytics firm Searchmetrics.

The study projected forward the average growth in shares on the competing social networks from November 2012 to April 2013. During this period, shares on Facebook shares by nearly 10 percent; +1′s on Google+ grew nearly twice as fast.«

Google+ Shares to Exceed Facebook’s by 2016, Study Predicts,
second source:
Social sharing on Google+ to overtake Facebook by 2016 predicts new study)

To predict what the Internet will look like in 2.5 years still seems a bit daring – by 2016, users might as well be be flocking away from Google and Facebook toward something we can’t imagine yet.

Google+ hits 400 million users

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Date of prediction: 2012-01-19

Paul Allen thinks that Google+ will have more than 400m users by the end of 2012:

»Here’s some news Mark Zuckerberg won’t ‘like’ – Google’s social networking site Google Plus will have more than 400million users by the end of 2012, according to a researcher.«

(Daily Mail:
Google Plus ‘will have more than 400m users by the end of 2012’ – will it overtake Facebook?

The Internet is full. Go away!

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Date of prediction: 2010-01-18

According do the IPv4 Exhaustion Counter we should have run out of IPv4 addresses by now:

Wikipedia fails

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Date of prediction: 2005-15 (renewed 2006-12)

»In particular, I remarked to Mike that Wikipedia inevitably will be overtaken by the gamers and the marketers to the point where it will lose all credibility.«

(Wikipedia Will Fail Within 5 Years)

2010 Web Application Security Predictions

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Date of prediction: 2010-01-18

Ryan Barnett predicted for 2010:

  • Web-based Worms Will Migrate Off Social Networking Sites
  • Planting of Malware Will Become a Top Concern
  • Attacks Against Web-based Critical Infrastructure Components
  • HTTP Denial of Service Attacks Will Take Down Important Sites

Elektronischer Personalausweis für das Internet


Date of prediction: 2009-08-11

»Meine Prognose: Wenn es nach dem Innenministerium geht, werden wir Mitte 2010 den elektronischen Personalausweis als Zündschlüssel für das Internet haben, und der providerseitige Jugendschutzfilter auf der Grundlage dieser Identifikation und Authentisierung gesetzt.«

(Die wunderbare Welt von Isotopp: Elektronischer Personalausweis für das Internet)

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