Tablets dead by 2018

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Date of prediction: 2013-04-30

While others predict the end of the PC and its replacement with tables, Thorsten Heins, CEO of BlackBerry, expects the quick demise of the tablet market. He thinks that tablets will remain a novelty and may lose their appeal soon, becoming irrelevant as early as 2018.

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Euro devaluation

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Date of prediction: 2016-11-15

Deutsche Bank expects that the Euro will reach parity with the US Dollar in early 2017 and continue to fall to 0.95 $ until the end of 2017.

Amazon to accept Bitcoin

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Date of prediction: 2017-10-24

This short-term prediction has just come in. Amidst the current Bitcoin craze – Blockchain is the next Internet! – German newspaper Die Welt believes that Amazon might announce today that it will accept the alleged cryptocurrency as a form of payment:

“In an article Tuesday, Die Welt reported that fintech sources in Silicon Valley were echoing previous hints from investor James Altucher that the global giant could soon integrate Bitcoin as a payment option. Altucher made the comments in a report last month, citing Thursday’s conference call as a D-Day moment for Amazon and Bitcoin. Ahead of the call, which anyone can listen to, momentum that the rumors actually hold substance are mounting.”

(Cointelegraph: More Rumors Amazon Could Accept Bitcoin as All Eyes on Conference Call, Die Welt: Steckt Amazon hinter dem Bitcoin-Boom?)

They hedge their prediction with admitted uncertainty about the exact date.

If I were Amazon I would sell Bitcoin rather than accept it.

British banks on the run

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Date of prediction: 2016-10-22

The Observer that Britain’s banks will move out rather soon:

“Their hands are quivering over the relocate button. Many smaller banks plan to start relocations before Christmas; bigger banks are expected to start in the first quarter of next year.”

(Brexit politicians are putting us on a fast track to financial jeopardy; Brexit: leading banks set to pull out of UK early next year)

A Pessimist’s Guide to the World in 2016

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Date of prediction: 2015-12-15

Bloomberg had several pessimist scenarios for 2016:

»Oil prices soar after Islamic State destroys facilities across the Middle East. Angela Merkel is forced to resign, throwing the European Union into disarray. The dollar slumps as Russian and Iranian hackers team up to launch cyber-attacks on U.S banks.«

(Bloomberg News: A Pessimist’s Guide to the World in 2016)

The wise man does not predict, he discusses scenarios. A scenario cannot be wrong, even if it is.

Security new age

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Date of prediction: 2011-01-02

But 2011 will see the start of a revolution in security thinking, which will last for most of the next decade, a period that might prove to be a new age of enlightenment for information security.

David Lacey,
http://www.computerweekly.com/blogs/david_lacey/2011/01/security_forecasts_for_2011.html

2011 earthquake good for Japan

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Date of prediction: 2011-03-14

Nathan Gardels believes that in the long run, the 2011 earthquake will be good for Japan’s economy:

»A massive earthquake and tsunami have accomplished what Japan’s fiscal policy and central bank could not. Rebuilding a large swath of Japan will stimulate domestic growth and global demand, energy-efficient technologies, while helping to integrate China and Japan.
(…)
The result of all the new wealth creation will be money in the pockets of Japanese to buy global goods and services.«

(The Cristian Science Monitor: The silver lining of Japan’s earthquake)

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