Date of prediction: 2010-02-04

Gabrielle Hegerl bets that the event defined es follows will occur:

-one of the years Y=2010,2011,2012,2013,2014, 2015, 2016 or 2017 is reported to have the highest mean annual global temperature of the period between 1880 and year Y (in other words, the year Y is the warmest on record) in the data set HadCRUTv. or successor data set. Successor data set is the data set used by the Hadley Centre to compare hottest years to the media at that time.

(Die Klimazwiebel: Climate bet)