Date of prediction: 2015-12-15
Bloomberg had several pessimist scenarios for 2016:
»Oil prices soar after Islamic State destroys facilities across the Middle East. Angela Merkel is forced to resign, throwing the European Union into disarray. The dollar slumps as Russian and Iranian hackers team up to launch cyber-attacks on U.S banks.«
(Bloomberg News: A Pessimist’s Guide to the World in 2016)
The wise man does not predict, he discusses scenarios. A scenario cannot be wrong, even if it is.