Year 1999 AD

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Date of prediction: 1967

The year 1999 as imagined in 1967:

(youtube)

Trump not going to win

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Date of prediction: various (before election day)

Trump will win

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Date of prediction: 2016-10-19

Presidential prognosticator, Don Khoury, used an algorithm to analyze the body language of the U.S. presidential candidates during the three TV debates and predict who will win the election. His prediction according to Wicked Local:

“The eventual winner, according to Khoury, is Trump. Based on his algorithm, which measures a candidates’ body language, Trump swept all three presidential debates.

Khoury scored the final debate a 144-21 landslide in favor on Trump.”

Like all probabilistic prediction, however, this statement is irrefutable unless the election turns out really surprising, e.g., with a third candidate winning.

Donald Trump elected President of the United States

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Date of prediction: 2015-08-13

Scott Adams, of Dilbert fame, predicts that Donald Trump will become the next President of the United States:

“Now that Trump owns FOX, and I see how well his anchor trick works with the public, I’m going to predict he will be our next president. I think he will move to the center on social issues (already happening) and win against Clinton in a tight election.”

(Scott Adams, Clown Genius, via Fefe)

Adams believes superior persuasion tactics on Trump’s part will do the job.

2011 earthquake good for Japan

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Date of prediction: 2011-03-14

Nathan Gardels believes that in the long run, the 2011 earthquake will be good for Japan’s economy:

»A massive earthquake and tsunami have accomplished what Japan’s fiscal policy and central bank could not. Rebuilding a large swath of Japan will stimulate domestic growth and global demand, energy-efficient technologies, while helping to integrate China and Japan.
(…)
The result of all the new wealth creation will be money in the pockets of Japanese to buy global goods and services.«

(The Cristian Science Monitor: The silver lining of Japan’s earthquake)

1981’s pretty accurate prediction of today’s cybercrime

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Year of prediction: 1981

Follow this link to see how cybercrime was envisaged in 1981: Computer Criminals in the World of Tomorrow (1981)

This prediction-having-become-true seems to be part of a whole series from the very early 1980s, looking ahead just 20 years and thus into a future that has already become our past itself.

World’s climate could cool first, warm later

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Date of prediction: 2009-09-04

»Latif predicted that in the next few years a natural cooling trend would dominate over warming caused by humans. The cooling would be down to cyclical changes to ocean currents and temperatures in the North Atlantic, a feature known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO).

Breaking with climate-change orthodoxy, he said NAO cycles were probably responsible for some of the strong global warming seen in the past three decades. “But how much? The jury is still out,” he told the conference. The NAO is now moving into a colder phase.

Latif said NAO cycles also explained the recent recovery of the Sahel region of Africa from the droughts of the 1970s and 1980s. James Murphy, head of climate prediction at the Met Office, agreed and linked the NAO to Indian monsoons, Atlantic hurricanes and sea ice in the Arctic. “The oceans are key to decadal natural variability,” he said.

Another favourite climate nostrum was upturned when Pope warned that the dramatic Arctic ice loss in recent summers was partly a product of natural cycles rather than global warming. Preliminary reports suggest there has been much less melting this year than in 2007 or 2008.«

(New Scientist: World’s climate could cool first, warm later)

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