The Internet is full. Go away!

Date of prediction: 2010-01-18

According do the IPv4 Exhaustion Counter we should have run out of IPv4 addresses by now:

Wikipedia fails

Date of prediction: 2005-15 (renewed 2006-12)

»In particular, I remarked to Mike that Wikipedia inevitably will be overtaken by the gamers and the marketers to the point where it will lose all credibility.«

(Wikipedia Will Fail Within 5 Years)

2010 Web Application Security Predictions

Date of prediction: 2010-01-18

Ryan Barnett predicted for 2010:

• Web-based Worms Will Migrate Off Social Networking Sites
• Planting of Malware Will Become a Top Concern
• Attacks Against Web-based Critical Infrastructure Components
• HTTP Denial of Service Attacks Will Take Down Important Sites

Elektronischer Personalausweis für das Internet

Date of prediction: 2009-08-11

»Meine Prognose: Wenn es nach dem Innenministerium geht, werden wir Mitte 2010 den elektronischen Personalausweis als Zündschlüssel für das Internet haben, und der providerseitige Jugendschutzfilter auf der Grundlage dieser Identifikation und Authentisierung gesetzt.«

(Die wunderbare Welt von Isotopp: Elektronischer Personalausweis für das Internet)

Conficker status check

Date of prediction: 2009-04-23

Conficker, the computer worm, will continue to be mentioned in the media. It will continue to do little actual damage, though. No spectacular large-scale attack will be carried out using the Conficker botnet.

(This prediction is backed by some research of others on Conficker.)