Oil crisis in 2013

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Date of prediction: 2009-02-28

According to a report of Spiegel Online the International Energy Agency (IEA) has warned about a possible world-wide economic crisis in 2013 due to shortages in oil supply. Low prices in 2009 keep oil compnaies from investing. Once the current financial crisis is over, demand might rise while supply doesn’t. Oil prices might reach $200 per barrel in 2013.

De-Mail will become a huge success

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Date of prediction: 2012-08-23

Deutsche Telekom board member Niek Jan van Damme predicts that the De-Mail service launched on 31 August 2012 will quickly turn into a huge success. De-Mail is a new e-mail system which allows its users to pay 0.39€ per message  in order to be protected from communicating with anybody outside. Specifically, van Damme predicts:

»Mit 1,5 Millionen vorregistrierten Privatkunden und einer fünfstelligen Zahl von Unternehmen zeichne sich eine Erfolgsgeschichte ab. Im ersten Jahr soll De-Mail nach den Berechnungen der Telekom 29 Prozent der Geschäftsbriefe und 39% des Faxverkehrs ersetzen und damit bereits 77% der CO2-Emissionen und 3,5 Milliarden Blatt Papier einsparen, die die klassische Post produziert. Als Umsatzerwartung für das erste Jahr peilt die Telekom nach van Damme einen “dreistelligen Millionenbetrag” an.«

(Heise: Deutsche Telekom: De-Mail geht zur IFA in Betrieb | heise online)

[Translation: »With 1.5 million preregistered individuals and a five-digit number of businesses interested, success is imminent. According to calculations of Telekom, De-Mail will replace in its first year 29 percent of business mail and 39% of fax traffic, saving 77% CO2 emissions and 3.5 million sheets of paper that old-fashioned mail would produce. Telekom expects hundreds of millions in turnover during the first year.«]

We wish Deutsche Telekom good luck and will revisit these predictions in due time.

Update (2014-02-08): De-Mail: Locken, drohen, täuschen

Ice-free arctic summer in or before 2013

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Date of prediction: 2007-12-12 (posted 2009-03-01)

»Their latest modelling studies indicate northern polar waters could be ice-free in summers within just 5-6 years. (…) “Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,” the researcher from the Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, California, explained to the BBC. “So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”«

(BBC: Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013′)

Date of prediction: 2008-08-10

»Ice at the North Pole melted at an unprecedented rate last week, with leading scientists warning that the Arctic could be ice-free in summer by 2013.

The Observer: Meltdown in the Arctic is speeding up)

Champions League terror warnings

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Date of prediction: 2013-05-24

According to news reports, the German Federal Criminal Police Office expects islamist terrorist to attempt attacks on viewers of the Champions League finals today. Several suspects are planning a bombing, sources assert.

The minister of thje interior, however, denies any hightened threat of terrorist attacks.

Crowdsourced Oscars prediction

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The Twitter Oscars Index attempted to predict based on twitter message statistics who’ll win the Academy Awards.

Google+ hits 400 million users

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Date of prediction: 2012-01-19

Paul Allen thinks that Google+ will have more than 400m users by the end of 2012:

»Here’s some news Mark Zuckerberg won’t ‘like’ – Google’s social networking site Google Plus will have more than 400million users by the end of 2012, according to a researcher.«

(Daily Mail:
Google Plus ‘will have more than 400m users by the end of 2012′ – will it overtake Facebook?

Worst Christmas ever

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Date of prediction: 2008-11-13 (posted 2009-03-07)

»Celente says that by 2012 America will become an undeveloped nation, that there will be a revolution marked by food riots, squatter rebellions, tax revolts and job marches, and that holidays will be more about obtaining food, not gifts.

“We’re going to see the end of the retail Christmas….we’re going to see a fundamental shift take place….putting food on the table is going to be more important that putting gifts under the Christmas tree,” said Celente, adding that the situation would be “worse than the great depression”.«

(Infowars.com: Celente Predicts Revolution, Food Riots, Tax Rebellions By 2012; Fox News: Gerald Celente on Glenn Beck “Global Katrina” 02/10/2009)

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